天龍人總覺得肯努力 願意彎下腰就能成功 制度面的不合理跟壓迫都視而不見 有些人因為社經地位的機會被剝奪也不在考量範圍

天龍人總覺得肯努力 願意彎下腰就能成功 

制度面的不合理跟壓迫都視而不見 有些人因為社經地位的機會被剝奪也不在考量範圍 

天龍人都不覺得他們能批判的背後 是因為上天在一開始就已經給他很多了 



以前在上政治學時 有些同學會跟老師爭論 他們是很努力才能唸好學校的 

他們認為其他人因為他們不願意花課後的休閒時間去補習去多唸點書 

這麼不上進 所以沒辦法考上112 118 119 或清 交 成是剛剛好而已 

他們都是非常勉為其難的撥出一些休閒時間 

讓爸媽請家教來讓自己感到十分痛苦才能考好的  
http://bbi.com.tw/pcman/Gossiping/1Heho7ez.html

Christopher Dorner

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christopher_Dorner


http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E5%85%8B%E9%87%8C%E6%96%AF%E6%89%98%E5%BC%97%C2%B7%E5%A4%9A%E5%B0%94%E7%BA%B3

最後 有人說 我不帥 又沒錢 也不想嘴炮 唯一有的就是一顆真心 那我還有救嗎

你放心  當然有

http://bbi.com.tw/pcman/sex/1GLp3C0k.html

http://www.ptt.cc/man/KS91-303/DA2D/DF43/DAFB/M.1357331200.A.467.html

滷包 配方

甘草    三片
http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E7%94%98%E8%8D%89

三奈    半錢
http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E6%B2%99%E8%96%91

公丁香    半錢
http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E4%B8%81%E9%A6%99

廣皮    兩塊
http://www.zhongyibaike.com/wiki/%E5%B9%BF%E7%9A%AE

桂皮    二錢
https://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E6%A1%82%E7%9A%AE

大茴    二錢
https://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E5%A4%A7%E8%8C%B4%E9%A6%99

小茴    一錢半
https://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E5%B0%8F%E8%8C%B4%E9%A6%99

花椒    一錢半
http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E8%8A%B1%E6%A4%92

長青傳統整復 台北縣永和市永貞路140號1樓

長青傳統整復   台北縣永和市永貞路140號1樓

莊明宗

0918889944
02-8921-3805

選擇權買方 操作檢討

1.還在盤整期間不要買，買了也只是歸0。

2.就算還在盤整期間要買，應該在靠近盤整區間上緣(壓力)時買進Put，在靠近盤整區間下緣(壓力)時買進Call。這樣比較便宜。

3.突破盤整區間不要怕，用力順勢加碼。
   如果盤中看盤，會產生幻覺影響決策。
   最好盤前預掛條件單，並且把遇到何種狀況該如何應對的計畫寫下來。

4.不要貪便宜買週和近月選擇權，行情還沒發動就先歸0了。就算行情有動作，也能還沒走完就結算了。
   我悶希望行情走完完整的一大段之前尚未被結算。至少要買次月份的。

纏中說禪 / 連勝卿 呂宏章 / 曾啟倫 果瀛 瀛海

===============================================================================
纏中說禪
===============================================================================

http://baike.baidu.com/view/2902214.htm

http://www.baike.com/wiki/%E7%BC%A0%E4%B8%AD%E8%AF%B4%E7%A6%85
 
http://blog.sina.com.cn/u/1215172700

http://blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_486e105c01000461.html

http://wenku.baidu.com/view/46e776fc0242a8956bece4d5.html

http://www.agutong.com/


缠中说禅走势中枢的概念：某级别走势类型中，被至少三个连续次级别走势类型所重叠的部分，称为缠中说禅走势中枢。换言之，缠中说禅走势中枢就是至少三个连续次级别走势类型重叠部分所构成。
缠中说禅走势中枢：某级别走势类型中，被至少三个连续次级别走势类型所重叠的部分。具体的计算以前三个连续次级别的重叠为准，严格的公式可以这样表示：次级别的连续三个走势类型A、B、C，分别的高、低点是a1\a2,b1\b2,c1\c2。则，中枢的区间就是（max（a2,b2,c2），min（a1,b1,c1））而实际上用目测就可以，不用这么复杂。注意，次级别的前三个走势类型都是完成的才构成该级别的缠中说禅走势中枢，完成的走势类型，在次级别图上是很明显的，根本就不用着再看次级别下面级别的图了。
走势中枢的数学表达式： A、B、C，分别的高、低点是a1\a2,b1\b2,c1\c2，则中枢的区间就是[max（a2,b2,c2），min（a1,b1,c1）]。
中枢的公式都可以简化为[max（a2,c2），min（a1,c1）]

显然，A、C段，其方向与中枢形成的方向是一致的，由此可见，在中枢的形成与延伸中，由与中枢形成方向一致的次级别走势类型的区间重叠确定。例如，回升形成的中枢，由向上的次级别走势类型的区间重叠确定，反之依然。
为方便起见，以后都把这些与中枢方向一致的次级别走势类型称为Z走势段，按中枢中的时间顺序，分别记为Zn等，而相应的高、低点分别记为gn、dn,
定义四个指标,GG=max(gn),G=min(gn),D=max(dn),DD=min(dn)，n遍历中枢中所有Zn。特别地，再定义ZG= min(g1、g2),ZD=max(d1、d2)，显然，[ZD，ZG]就是缠中说禅走势中枢的区间

缠中说禅盘整：在任何级别的任何走势中，某完成的走势类型只包含一个缠中说禅走势中枢，就称为该级别的缠中说禅盘整。

缠中说禅趋势：在任何级别的任何走势中，某完成的走势类型至少包含两个以上依次同向的缠中说禅走势中枢，就称为该级别的缠中说禅趋势。该方向向上就称为上涨，向下就称为下跌。注意，趋势中的缠中说禅走势中枢之间必须绝对不存在重叠。


“缠中说禅技术分析基本原理一”：任何级别的任何走势类型终要完成。

“缠中说禅技术分析基本原理二”：任何级别任何完成的走势类型，必然包含一个以上的缠中说禅走势中枢。


“缠中说禅走势分解定理一”：任何级别的任何走势，都可以分解成同级别“盘整”、“下跌”与“上涨”三种走势类型的连接。

“缠中说禅走势分解定理二“：任何级别的任何走势类型，都至少由三段以上次级别走势类型构成。

“缠中说禅买卖点定律一”：任何级别的第二类买卖点都由次级别相应走势的第一类买点构成。

“缠中说禅趋势转折定律”：任何级别的上涨转折都是由某级别的第一类卖点构成的；任何的下跌转折都是由某级别的第一类买点构成的。

“缠中说禅走势中枢定理一”：在趋势中，连接两个同级别“缠中说禅走势中枢”的必然是次级别以下级别(注：次级别以及次级别以下级别）的走势类型。

“缠中说禅走势中枢定理二”：在盘整中，无论是离开还是返回“缠中说禅走势中枢”的走势类型必然是次级别以下的。


“缠中说禅走势中枢定理三”：某级别“缠中说禅走势中枢”的破坏，当且仅当一个次级别走势离开该“缠中说禅走势中枢”后，其后的次级别回抽走势不重新回到该“缠中说禅走势中枢”内。

缠中说禅走势级别延续定理一：在更大级别缠中说禅走势中枢产生前，该级别走势类型将延续。也就是说，只能是只具有该级别缠中说禅走势中枢的盘整或趋势的延续。

缠中说禅走势级别延续定理二：更大级别缠中说禅走势中枢产生，当且仅当围绕连续两个同级别缠中说禅走势中枢产生的波动区间产生重叠。

缠中说禅走势中枢中心定理一：走势中枢的延伸等价于任意区间[dn，gn]与[ZD，ZG]有重叠。换言之，若有Zn，使得dn>ZG或gn

缠中说禅走势中枢中心定理二：前后同级别的两个缠中说禅走势中枢，后GG〈前DD等价于下跌及其延续；后DD〉前GG等价于上涨及其延续。后ZG<前ZD且后GG〉=前DD，或后ZD〉前ZG且后DD=<前GG，则等价于形成高级别的走势中枢。

第三类买卖点定理：一个次级别走势类型向上离开缠中说禅走势中枢，然后以一个次级别走势类型回试，其低点不跌破ZG，则构成第三类买点；一个次级别走势类型向下离开缠中说禅走势中枢，然后以一个次级别走势类型回抽，其高点不升破ZD，则构成第三类卖点。

缠中说禅背驰-买卖点定理：任一背驰都必然制造某级别的买卖点，任一级别的买卖点都必然源自某级别走势的背驰。  

 
===============================================================================
連勝卿  呂宏章
===============================================================================

連勝卿

http://tw.myblog.yahoo.com/susnching1/

http://blog.sina.com.cn/susnching1

連勝卿  師承  呂宏章

http://tw.myblog.yahoo.com/susnching1/article?mid=484

http://tw.myblog.yahoo.com/susnching1/article?mid=912

===============================================================================
曾啟倫  果瀛  瀛海
===============================================================================

http://goo.gl/Ht3Qd

臺灣臺北地方法院刑事簡易判決　　99年度金簡字第1號
公　訴　人　臺灣臺北地方法院檢察署檢察官
被　　　告　曾啟倫
選任辯護人　曾允斌律師
　　　　　　林文鵬律師
被　　　告　洪黎軒
選任辯護人　陳德峰律師
　　　　　　林奕秀律師
　　　　　　周建才律師
上列被告等因違反期貨交易法等案件，經檢察官提起公訴（97年
度偵字第26253 號），經本院訊問後被告等均自白犯罪，認為宜
以簡易判決處刑，逕以簡易判決處刑如下：
    主      文
曾啟倫未經許可，擅自經營期貨顧問事業，處有期徒刑貳年，併
科罰金新臺幣貳佰伍拾萬元，罰金如易服勞役，以罰金總額與壹
年之日數比例折算。緩刑伍年，並應向公庫支付新台幣壹佰伍拾
萬元。
洪黎軒未經許可，擅自經營期貨顧問事業，處有期徒刑拾月，併
科罰金新臺幣貳佰萬元，罰金如易服勞役，以罰金總額與壹年之
日數比例折算。緩刑參年，並應於本案洪黎軒部分判決確定後壹
年內，向公庫支付新臺幣伍拾萬元。

被告曾啟倫前於79年間因違反醫師法案件，經臺灣高等法院判處有期徒刑7 月，緩刑4 年確定

https://www.facebook.com/yi.q.zhao

https://www.facebook.com/pages/%E6%9B%BE%E5%95%9F%E5%80%AB%E6%9E%9C%E7%80%9B%E8%80%81%E5%B8%AB/179514892143344

肌內效貼布 肌能系貼布 kinesio taping

http://www.kinesiotaping.com/

http://www.kinesiotaiwan.com/

http://mulicia.pixnet.net/blog/post/28231542

http://mulicia.pixnet.net/blog/post/28259033

http://www.google.com.tw/search?num=100&newwindow=1&safe=off&hl=zh-TW&site=webhp&source=hp&q=%E8%82%8C%E5%85%A7%E6%95%88%E8%B2%BC%E5%B8%83&oq=%E8%82%8C%E5%85%A7&gs_l=hp.1.0.0l10.52157633.52167380.0.52169705.10.9.1.0.0.0.122.594.8j1.9.0...0.0...1c.1j4.14.hp.XE4PJjnj1pQ

https://www.google.com.tw/search?q=%E8%82%8C%E8%83%BD%E7%B3%BB%E8%B2%BC%E5%B8%83&aq=f&oq=%E8%82%8C%E8%83%BD%E7%B3%BB%E8%B2%BC%E5%B8%83&aqs=chrome.0.57&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8 

搶銀行不用槍 駭客狂領13億

http://udn.com/NEWS/WORLD/WOR6/7888274.shtml

http://udn.com/NEWS/WORLD/WOR4/7890048.shtml

http://www.ettoday.net/news/20130511/206014.htm

http://news.chinatimes.com/world/110504/112013051100137.html

http://big5.xinhuanet.com/gate/big5/news.xinhuanet.com/world/2013-05/10/c_124694310.htm

http://www.cyberwarzone.com/unlimited-operation-45-million-cyberattacks

http://newyork.cbslocal.com/2013/05/09/8-accused-of-stealing-millions-in-global-cyber-attacks-on-banks/

http://www.justice.gov/usao/nye/pr/2013/2013may09.html

http://www.worldjournal.com/view/aUSnews/22534490/article-%E7%B4%90%E7%B4%84%E9%A7%AD%E5%AE%A2%E5%8A%AB%E9%8A%80%E8%A1%8C-10%E5%B0%8F%E6%99%82%E7%9B%9C4500%E8%90%AC?instance=us_bull



網路黑盜
DarkMarket: CyberThieves, CyberCops and You

作者：米夏．葛列尼
原文作者：Misha Glenny
譯者：林添貴
出版社：時報出版
出版日期：2012年08月20日
語言：繁體中文 ISBN：9789571356327

http://www.books.com.tw/exep/prod/booksfile.php?item=0010555518

虛擬貨幣

虛擬貨幣
http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:%E8%99%9A%E6%8B%9F%E8%B4%A7%E5%B8%81

Bitcoin
http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E6%AF%94%E7%89%B9%E5%B8%81

Bitcoin目前的發行基礎，並非建立在實際對人類有用處的物品或勞務上

所以應該設計一種虛擬幣
對應到的實際貢獻為分散計算計畫的貢獻

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_distributed_computing_projects

這樣貨幣發行量就會對應到實際的電腦運算量
可以控制貨幣不會無限量發行，也不會有貨幣不足的問題

破除天主教基督教迷信

http://www.youtube.com/user/DarkMatter2525/videos?sort=p&view=0&flow=grid


http://www.youtube.com/user/NonStampCollector/videos?view=0&flow=grid&sort=p


http://www.youtube.com/user/yellowlynx/videos?sort=p&flow=grid&view=0


http://www.youtube.com/user/Th3Pasta/videos?sort=p&flow=grid&view=0


http://hornydragon.blogspot.com/2011/05/george-carlin-religion-is-bullshit.html


http://www.youtube.com/playlist?feature=edit_ok&list=PLRRoLBWqzEsEt06uWoAE0bOlikgC0p3ZS

選擇權定價公式 Greek Letter

http://ishare.iask.sina.com.cn/f/22460955.html

p.351  p.398

http://ishare.iask.sina.com.cn/f/15233361.html 

https://skydrive.live.com/?cid=bdf79758c54b0530&id=BDF79758C54B0530%21171#!/view.aspx?cid=BDF79758C54B0530&resid=BDF79758C54B0530%21757&app=Excel


  
選擇權定價公式

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Greek Letter

{###_b89207040/32764/1409577973.jpg_###} 

List of stock market indices 股價指數列表

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_stock_market_indices

全球交易所列表

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_stock_exchanges


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_futures_exchanges

Hedge Fund ETFs

http://etfdb.com/type/alternatives/hedge-fund/returns/sortfield/threeYear/sortdir/a/


http://etfdb.com/etfdb-category/hedge-fund/returns/sortfield/threeYear/sortdir/d/

證券交易法 第 36 條 發行有價證券之公司，於每會計年度終了後三個月內，公告並申報年度財務報告

http://law.moj.gov.tw/LawClass/LawSearchNo.aspx?PC=G0400001&DF=&SNo=36
 
證券交易法  第 36 條
已依本法發行有價證券之公司，除情形特殊，經主管機關另予規定者外，
應依下列規定公告並向主管機關申報：
一、於每會計年度終了後三個月內，公告並申報經會計師查核簽證、董事
    會通過及監察人承認之年度財務報告。
二、於每會計年度第一季、第二季及第三季終了後四十五日內，公告並申
    報經會計師核閱及提報董事會之財務報告。
三、於每月十日以前，公告並申報上月份營運情形。
前項所定情形特殊之適用範圍、公告、申報期限及其他應遵行事項之辦法
，由主管機關定之。
第一項之公司有下列情事之一者，應於事實發生之日起二日內公告並向主
管機關申報：
一、股東常會承認之年度財務報告與公告並向主管機關申報之年度財務報
    告不一致。
二、發生對股東權益或證券價格有重大影響之事項。
第一項之公司，應編製年報，於股東常會分送股東；其應記載事項、編製
原則及其他應遵行事項之準則，由主管機關定之。
第一項至第三項公告、申報事項及前項年報，有價證券已在證券交易所上
市買賣者，應以抄本送證券交易所；有價證券已在證券商營業處所買賣者
，應以抄本送主管機關指定之機構供公眾閱覽。
公司在重整期間，第一項所定董事會及監察人之職權，由重整人及重整監
督人行使。
股票已在證券交易所上市或於證券商營業處所買賣之公司股東常會，應於
每會計年度終了後六個月內召開；不適用公司法第一百七十條第二項但書
規定。
股票已在證券交易所上市或於證券商營業處所買賣之公司董事及監察人任
期屆滿之年，董事會未依前項規定召開股東常會改選董事、監察人者，主
管機關得依職權限期召開；屆期仍不召開者，自限期屆滿時，全體董事及
監察人當然解任。

2013年 現金股利分析結果

現金股利連10年遞增
1565    精華

現金股利連 9年遞增
1535    中宇

現金股利連 8年遞增
9933    中鼎

現金股利連12年不減
9942    茂順

現金股利連11年不減
1231    聯華食

現金股利連10年不減
6121    新普

現金股利連 9年不減
8210    勤誠

現金股利連 7年不減
2480    敦陽科
6112    聚碩
1712    興農




2382    廣達
6224    聚鼎
6281    全國電
4103    百略
6183    關貿
3291    遠翔科
3008    大立光
1517    利奇
1707    葡萄王
2357    華碩
9939    宏全
9908    大台北
8083    瑞穎
5487    通泰
5534    長虹
2013    中鋼構
2104    中橡
9914    美利達
6271    同欣電
2385    群光
6230    超眾
2451    創見
5489    彩富

主力股研究標的

http://tw.myblog.yahoo.com/goodonchang/article?mid=1&prev=2&l=a&fid=5

華豐、欣技、霖宏、中福、堃霖、加捷、達新工、宏遠證（原吉祥證）、合發、青鋼、宜進、志旭、豐聲、高技、永兆、勤益、冠軍（原信益）、聚亨、宏億、捷力、南僑、幸福
佳和


南緯 1467
三星 5007
南僑 1702
中福 1435
唐鋒 4609
尚立 3360
皇田 9951
金洲 4417
霖宏 5464
富強鑫 6603
亞昕 5213
泓格 3577
盈正 3628

龍邦 2514

便宜的好空氣清淨機

http://solutions.3m.com.tw/wps/portal/3M/zh_TW/TWCHIMAIR/home/e/breath/airdiff/


3M空氣清淨機
超濾淨型(超質版)
CHIMSPD-01UCRC

http://www.findprice.com.tw/datalist.aspx?s=g&q=01UCRC&o=1&gp=none%2Cnone&minp=&maxp=

http://search.ruten.com.tw/search/s000.php?k=01UCRC&c=0&ctab=0&searchfrom=searchbars&f=20&m=1&fx=16&fy=0&h=0&p1=&p2=&o=2

http://tw.search.bid.yahoo.com/search/ac;_ylt=ArEakcSj24Ml5Chx2YFaO8ypFLJ8?p=01UCRC&reservePrice=1&newitem=1&display=imagetext&ei=UTF-8&cat=&fp_ad_hits=3&n=50&f_disprange=1&s=curprice

替換濾網
CHIMSPD-01/02UCF

http://www.findprice.com.tw/datalist.aspx?s=g&q=01%2F02UCF&o=1&gp=none%2Cnone&minp=&maxp=

http://search.ruten.com.tw/search/s000.php?k=01%2F02UCF&c=0&ctab=0&searchfrom=searchbars&f=20&m=1&fx=16&fy=0&h=0&p1=&p2=&o=2

http://tw.search.bid.yahoo.com/search/ac;_ylt=ArEakcSj24Ml5Chx2YFaO8ypFLJ8?p=01%2F02UCF&reservePrice=1&newitem=1&display=imagetext&ei=UTF-8&cat=&fp_ad_hits=3&n=50&f_disprange=1&s=curprice

Inspire (magazine) / Open source jihad

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inspire_(magazine)
http://al-malahem.com/epic/inspire/

http://azelin.files.wordpress.com/2010/06/aqap-inspire-magazine-volume-1-uncorrupted.pdf
Make a Bomb in the Kitchen of your Mom
page 33

http://azelin.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/inspire-magazine-2.pdf
Asrar al-Mujahideen 2.0 extras
page 58

http://azelin.files.wordpress.com/2011/01/inspire-magazine-4.pdf
Destroying Buildings
page 39
Training with the AK
page 42

http://azelin.files.wordpress.com/2011/03/inspire-magazine-5.pdf
Training with the AK 2
page 24

http://azelin.files.wordpress.com/2011/09/inspire-magazine-6.pdf
Training with the AK 3
page 37
Making Acetone Peroxide
page 39

http://azelin.files.wordpress.com/2012/05/inspire-magazine-8.pdf
Training with a handgun
page 29
Remote Control Detonation
page 32

http://azelin.files.wordpress.com/2012/05/inspire-magazine-9.pdf
It is of your freedom to ignite a firebomb
page 30

http://al-malahem.com/epic/inspire/10/inspire-10.pdf
Torching Parked Vehicles
page 51
Causing Road Accidents
page 52

Black-Scholes 相關書籍

http://findbook.tw/search?q=%22Black-Scholes%22&keyword_type=title&lang=zh_tw&page=1&sort=pub_date

人格測驗

作手元素──你適合當操盤手嗎？
在進入作手的內心世界之前，請用直覺簡單的回答以下問題：

◆路邊看到貧困無依的人會起同情心，見到乞丐會想施捨？
◆見到職位或地位比自己高的人，說話會不太自在？
◆喜歡古典音樂、爵士樂、喜愛去音樂會，不愛去KTV 酒店？
◆看到美女辣妹可以克制自己，不會被美色迷惑？
◆喜歡朝九晚五的工作，收入要穩定？
◆穿著就是簡單樸素就好，不需要有自己的風格？
◆喜歡跑步、游泳、籃球……這些單純健康的運動，覺得打高爾夫球、上健身房是貴族運動？
◆今天身體不舒服，會請假不去上班？
◆股票賺的辛苦錢應該存起，不該花在朋友的應酬上？
◆覺得買雙B 或其他更高檔次的車是奢侈的行為，就算有錢也不買？
◆見朋友先一步接走生意，覺得樂觀其成的祝福他？
◆投資朋友生意，但被倒帳，基於友情不追究？
◆跟朋友借錢做股票失利了，先清償到底，再去找下一個投資機會？
◆覺得媒體報導的掏空公司老闆，非常可恥？
◆買基金比起股票較不麻煩？
◆因為不懂或沒時間買賣股票，找人代操應是可行？
◆喜歡用現股買賣，不喜歡融資或丙種？
◆股票要自己研究，不要打聽小道消息？
◆股票重的是本質，業績不好的投機股不要碰？
◆賣股票時怕用市價砍會賣到低價，會掛個稍高的賣出價位，等成交賣出？
◆可靠消息得知一檔明牌股，盤中眼看股價即將要發動了，錢不夠只能先忍耐？

以上我稱為「作手元素」的題目是我廿幾年來，觀察身邊的作手朋友的行為得來，除了性格還包括生活態度和物欲等價值觀；答案是兩極化的是和否，雖沒有一定的標準分數，但答案中出現的「否定」越多，可能代表越具備作手的特質。若您較少作手的特質，可退而其次當上市公司操盤人；至於作手元素完全欠奉的讀者，就偶爾買賣股票，投機娛樂即可！

Altman Z-score

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Altman_Z-score


http://wiki.mbalib.com/zh-tw/%E9%98%BF%E7%89%B9%E6%9B%BCZ-score%E6%A8%A1%E5%9E%8B

The original Z-score formula was as follows:

<dl style="margin-top:0.2em;margin-bottom:0.5em;font-family:sans-serif;line-height:19.1875px;"><dd style="line-height:1.5em;margin-left:1.6em;margin-bottom:0.1em;margin-right:0px;">Z = 0.012T₁ + 0.014T₂ + 0.033T₃ + 0.006T₄ + 0.999T₅.</dd></dl><dl style="margin-top:0.2em;margin-bottom:0.5em;font-family:sans-serif;line-height:19.1875px;"><dd style="line-height:1.5em;margin-left:1.6em;margin-bottom:0.1em;margin-right:0px;">T₁ = Working Capital / Total Assets. Measures liquid assets in relation to the size of the company.</dd></dl><dl style="margin-top:0.2em;margin-bottom:0.5em;font-family:sans-serif;line-height:19.1875px;"><dd style="line-height:1.5em;margin-left:1.6em;margin-bottom:0.1em;margin-right:0px;">T₂ = Retained Earnings / Total Assets. Measures profitability that reflects the company's age and earning power.</dd></dl><dl style="margin-top:0.2em;margin-bottom:0.5em;font-family:sans-serif;line-height:19.1875px;"><dd style="line-height:1.5em;margin-left:1.6em;margin-bottom:0.1em;margin-right:0px;">T₃ = Earnings Before Interest and Taxes / Total Assets. Measures operating efficiency apart from tax and leveraging factors. It recognizes operating earnings as being important to long-term viability.</dd></dl><dl style="margin-top:0.2em;margin-bottom:0.5em;font-family:sans-serif;line-height:19.1875px;"><dd style="line-height:1.5em;margin-left:1.6em;margin-bottom:0.1em;margin-right:0px;">T₄ = Market Value of Equity / Book Value of Total Liabilities. Adds market dimension that can show up security price fluctuation as a possible red flag.</dd></dl><dl style="margin-top:0.2em;margin-bottom:0.5em;font-family:sans-serif;line-height:19.1875px;"><dd style="line-height:1.5em;margin-left:1.6em;margin-bottom:0.1em;margin-right:0px;">T₅ = Sales/ Total Assets. Standard measure for total asset turnover (varies greatly from industry to industry).</dd></dl>

Altman found that the ratio profile for the bankrupt group fell at -0.25 avg, and for the non-bankrupt group at +4.48 avg.

Z—Score模型判別函數為：

　　Z = 0.012X₁ + 0.014X₂ + 0.033X₃ + 0.006X₄ + 0.999X₅

　　其中X₁=營運資金／資產總額，它反映了公司資產的變現能力和規模特征。一個公司營運資本如果持續減少，往往預示著公司資金周轉不靈或出現短期償債危機。X₂=留存收益／資產總額，反映了公司的累積獲利能力。對於上市公司，留存收益是指凈利潤減去全部股利的餘額。留存收益越多，表明公司支付股利的剩餘能力越。X₃=息稅前利潤／資產總額。即EBIT／資產總額。可稱為總資產息稅前利潤率，而通常所用的總資產息稅前利潤率為EBIT／平均資產總額，分母間的區別在於平均資產總額。避免了期末大量購進資產時使X3降低，不能客觀反映一年中資產的獲利能力，衡量上市公司運用全部資產獲利的能。X₄=股東權益的市場價值總額／負債總額．測定的是財務結構，分母為流動負債和長期負債的賬麵價值之和．分子以股東權益的市場價值取代了賬麵價值，使分子能客觀地反映公司價值的大。X₅=銷售收入／資產總額，即總資產周轉率，企業總資產的營運能力集中反映在總資產的經營水平上。

　　如果企業總資產周轉率高．說明企業利用全部資產進行經營的成果好。反之，如果總資產周轉率低，則說明企業利用全部資產進行經營活動的成果差．最終將影響企業的獲利能力。

　　Z--Score模型從企業的資產規模、變現能力、獲利能力、財務結構、償債能力、資產利用效率等方面綜合反映了企業財務狀況，進一步推動了財務預警系統的發展。奧特曼通過對Z—Score模型的研究分析得出Z值與公司發生財務危機的可能性成反比，Z值越小。公司發生財務危機的可能行就越大，Z值越大，公司發生財務危機的可能性就越小。當Z<1.8時，企業屬於破產之列當時；當1.8<Z<2.675時，企業屬於“灰色區域”，很難簡單得出企業是否肯定破產的結論；當Z>2.675時，公司財務狀況良好，破產可能性極小。但由於每個國家的經濟環境不同，每個國家值的判斷標準也各不相同，因而各國家公司值的臨界值也各不相同。

 

選擇權價差交易賠率機率整理

https://skydrive.live.com/?cid=BDF79758C54B0530&id=BDF79758C54B0530%21171#!/view.aspx?cid=BDF79758C54B0530&resid=BDF79758C54B0530%21742&app=Excel


http://tinyurl.com/ckeforv

通路股票名稱及代碼

台灣的超級市場與量販店
http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/Template:%E5%8F%B0%E7%81%A3%E9%80%A3%E9%8E%96%E8%B6%85%E7%B4%9A%E5%B8%82%E5%A0%B4 

上市貿易百貨
http://tw.stock.yahoo.com/h/kimosel.php?tse=1&cat=%B6T%A9%F6%A6%CA%B3f

2903 遠百 愛買
2905 三商行    美廉社
2908 特力 特力屋    HOLA
2912 統一超    7-11
2915 潤泰全    大潤發

上櫃貿易百貨
http://tw.stock.yahoo.com/h/kimosel.php?tse=2&cat=%C2d%B6T%A9%F6

5903 全家
5904 寶雅
 
上市食品
http://tw.stock.yahoo.com/h/kimosel.php?tse=1&cat=%AD%B9%AB~

1201 味全 松青超市 
1216 統一 家樂福

上櫃食品
http://tw.stock.yahoo.com/h/kimosel.php?tse=2&cat=%C2d%AD%B9%AB~

上市其他
http://tw.stock.yahoo.com/h/kimosel.php?tse=1&cat=%A8%E4%A5L

9945 潤泰新    大潤發

上櫃其他
http://tw.stock.yahoo.com/h/kimosel.php?tse=2&cat=%C2d%A8%E4%A5L

可轉換公司債
http://tw.stock.yahoo.com/h/kimosel.php?tse=2&cat=%C2d%A4%BD%A5q

計算 Implied Volatility

http://ishare.iask.sina.com.cn/f/22460955.html

 
http://ishare.iask.sina.com.cn/f/15233361.html
 

==========================================================================
Newton Raphson 法
==========================================================================

Function GImpliedVolatilityNR(CallPutFlag As String, S As Double, X As Double, T As Double, r As Double, b As Double, cm As Double, epsilon As Double)

 Dim vi As Double, ci As Double
 Dim vegai As Double
 Dim minDiff As Double

 'Manaster and Koehler seed value ( vi)
 vi = Sqr(Abs(Log(S / X) + r * T) * 2 /
 ci = GBlackScholes(CallPutFlag , S, X, T, r, b, vi )
 vegai = GVega(S, X, T, r, b, vi)
 minDiff = Abs(cm — ci )

 While Abs(cm — ci) >= epsilon And Abs(cm — ci) <= minDiff
  vi = vi — ( ci — cm) / vegai
  ci = GBlackScholes(CallPutFlag , S, X, T, r, b, vi)
  vegai = GVega(S, x, T, r, b, vi )
  minDiff = Abs(cm — ci )
 Wend

 If Abs(cm — ci) < epsilon Then
  GImpliedVolatilityNR = vi
 Else
  GImpliedVolatilityNR = "NA"
 End If

End Function

==========================================================================
二分逼近法
==========================================================================

Function GBlackScholesImpVolBisection(CallPutFlag As String, S As Double, X As Double, T As Double, r As Double, b As Double, cm As Double) As Variant
 Dim vLow As Double, vHigh As Double, vi As Double
 Dim cLow As Double, cHigh As Double, epsilon As Double
 Dim counter As Integer
 
 vLow = 0.005
 vHigh = 4
 epsilon = le-08
 cLow = GBlackScholes ( CallPutFlag , S, X, T, r, b, vLow)
 cHigh = GBlackScholes ( CallPutFlag , S, X, T, r, b, vHigh)
 counter = 0
 vi = vLow + (cm — cLow ) * (vHigh — vLow) / ( cHigh — cLow)

 While Abs(cm — GBlackScholes ( CallPutFlag , S, X, T, r, b, vi )) > epsilon
  counter = counter + 1
  
  If counter = 100 Then
   GBlackScholesImpVolBisection
   Exit Function
  End If
  
  If GBlackScholes ( CallPutFlag , S, X, T, r, b, vi ) < cm Then
   vLow = vi
  Else
   vHigh = vi
  End If

  cLow = GBlackScholes ( CallPutFlag , S, X, T, r, b, vLow)
  cHigh = GBlackScholes ( CallPutFlag , S, X, T, r, b, vHigh )
  vi = vLow + (cm — cLow ) * (vHigh — vLow) / ( cHigh — cLow)
 Wend

 GBlackScholesImpVolBisection = vi
End Function

==========================================================================
Corrado, C.J. & T.W. Miller
==========================================================================

CORRADO, C. J., AND T. W MILLER (1996a): "A Note on a Simple, Accurate
Formula to Compute Implied Standard Deviations," Journal of
Banking and Finance, 20,595-603.
(1996b): "Volatility Without Tears," Risk Magazine, 9(7).

https://skydrive.live.com/?cid=BDF79758C54B0530#cid=BDF79758C54B0530&id=BDF79758C54B0530%21749

 

  

{###_b89207040/32764/1409577969.jpg_###}

查詢股票代碼

用公司英文名稱查詢
http://eoddata.com/symbols.aspx

用CUSIP查詢
http://activequote.fidelity.com/mmnet/SymLookup.phtml

用公司中文名稱查詢
http://tw.stock.yahoo.com/h/kimosel.php?form=menu&form_id=stock_id&form_name=stock_name

Cauchy distribution 定積分計算 及 風險計算

{###_b89207040/32764/1409577968.jpg_###}



http://zh.numberempire.com/definiteintegralcalculator.php

Cauchy distribution  1/(%pi*(1+x^2))

線上不定積分/定績分計算器 Z分數機率轉換器

Z分數機率轉換

http://www.fourmilab.ch/rpkp/experiments/analysis/zCalc.html

不定積分

http://integrals.wolfram.com/index.jsp

http://zh.numberempire.com/integralcalculator.php

定積分

http://zh.numberempire.com/definiteintegralcalculator.php

無限大 inf
負無限大 minf

normal distribution  (1/sqrt(2*%pi))*%e^(-x^2/2)

Cauchy distribution  1/(%pi*(1+x^2))

{###_b89207040/32764/1409577968.jpg_###}

二項式分配最大風險計算機

<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD XHTML 1.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/xhtml1/DTD/xhtml1-transitional.dtd">

<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">

<head>

<meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8" />

<title>最大風險計算</title>

<script language="javascript">

function calc()

{
  var v1   = parseFloat( document.getElementById('v1').value );
  var v2   = parseFloat( document.getElementById('v2').value );
  var v3   = parseFloat( document.getElementById('v3').value );
  var v31  = v2/(v1+v2);
  var v32  = v1/(v1+v2);
  var v4 = Math.sqrt(v3*v1*v2)*5;
  var v5 = v4/0.3048;
 
 
 var str = '';

 str += '若勝率大於：' + v31+'</br>';
 str += '才可以' + '</br>';
 str += '期望值大於0' + '</br>';
 str += '最大風險小於：' + v4+'元</br>';

 document.getElementById('message').innerHTML = str;

}

</script>

<script language="javascript">

function calc2()

{
  var v1   = parseFloat( document.getElementById('v11').value );
  var v11  = parseFloat( document.getElementById('v111').value );
  var v2   = parseFloat( document.getElementById('v12').value );
  var v3   = parseFloat( document.getElementById('v13').value );
  var v30  = v1/v11;
  var v31  = v2/v30-v2;

  var v4 = Math.sqrt(v3*v30-v3*v30*v30)*(v31+v2)*5;
  var v5 = v4/0.3048;
 
 
 var str = '';

 str += '若贏錢金額大於：' + v31+'元</br>';
 str += '才可以' + '</br>';
 str += '期望值大於0' + '</br>';
 str += '最大風險小於：' + v4+'元</br>';

 document.getElementById('message2').innerHTML = str;

}

</script>

<script>

function show_now()

{
 var w = new Array('日', '一', '二', '三', '四', '五', '六');
 var today = new Date();
 var str = '';

 str += today.getFullYear() + '年';
 str += (today.getMonth()+1) + '月';
 str += today.getDate() + '日';
 str += '星期' + w[today.getDay()];
 str += today.getHours() + '時';
 str += today.getMinutes() + '分';
 str += today.getSeconds() + '秒';
 str += today.getMilliseconds()+ '毫秒'

 document.getElementById('show_area').innerHTML = str;
 setTimeout("show_now()", 1);

}

</script>
<script>setTimeout("show_now()", 1);</script>
</head>
<body><br />
<p>現在時間：<span id="show_area"></span></p>
<br />
<h2>最大風險計算(未知勝率)</h2><br />
<p><br />
贏錢金額：<input type="text" name="v1" id="v1" size="10" value="1"/> 元  <br /><br /><br />
<br />
輸錢金額：<input type="text" name="v2" id="v2" size="10" value="1"/> 元  <br /><br /><br />
<br />
交易次數：<input type="text" name="v3" id="v3" size="10" value="10000"/> 次 <br /><br /><br />
<br />
<input type="button" value="分析" onclick="calc();" /><br />
<br />
</p><br />
<p><span id="message">請輸入你的資料</span></p><p><span id="test1"></span></p><p><span id="test2"></span></p><br />
</body><br />
<br />

<body>
<br />
<h2>最大風險計算(未知贏錢金額)</h2><br />
<p><br />
贏錢機率：<input type="text" name="v1" id="v11" size="10" value="0.5"/> / <input type="text" name="v111" id="v111" size="10" value="1"/> <br /><br /><br />
<br />
輸錢金額：<input type="text" name="v2" id="v12" size="10" value="1"/> 元  <br /><br /><br />
<br />
交易次數：<input type="text" name="v3" id="v13" size="10" value="10000"/> 次 <br /><br /><br />
<br />
<input type="button" value="分析" onclick="calc2();" /><br />
<br />
</p><br />
<p><span id="message2">請輸入你的資料</span></p><p><span id="test1"></span></p><p><span id="test2"></span></p><br />
</body><br />

</html>

美股股利歷史資料

更改網址中的股票代碼即可

http://ycharts.com/companies/ADM/dividend

http://ycharts.com/companies/BG/dividend

http://ycharts.com/companies/MON/dividend

http://ycharts.com/companies/IBM/dividend

二項式分配轉換為Z分數及其最大風險上限

{###_b89207040/32764/1409577967.jpg_###}

全球股債ETF組合

  VT(全球股市)
=VTI(美國股市)+VEU(全球股市美國除外)
=VTI(美國股市)+VGK(歐洲股市)+VPL(亞太股市)+VWO(新興市場股市)

BWX (國際公債)
IEI (美國公債)
WIP   (國際抗通膨公債)
TIP (美國抗通膨公債)


股票

http://etfdb.com/etfdb-category/global-equities/

抗通膨公債

http://etfdb.com/etfdb-category/inflation-protected-bonds/

高士大飯店(原高仕山莊) 宜蘭縣礁溪鄉德陽路154號

高士大飯店(原高仕山莊)   宜蘭縣礁溪鄉德陽路154號

電話：03-9881991~3 傳真：03-9881532

中藥 萬靈酒 治百病酒

   藥品名稱 比例

1 枸子 156.134mg
2 熟地黃 102.404mg
3 當歸 88.39mg
4 鹿角 58mg
5 杜仲 55.76mg
6 黃耆 55.51mg
7 乾茄根 50mg
8 鍾乳石 50mg
9 黃精 49.35mg
10 五加皮 46.65mg
11 茯苓 43.05mg
12 蛇床子 42.83mg
13 白朮 42.56mg
14 丹參 38.4mg
15 乾薑 38.4mg
16 川芎 35.7mg
17 防風 34.71mg
18 肉桂 34.51mg
19 龜版 30.8mg
20 龍眼肉 29.145mg
21 黨參 29.11mg
22 茯神 28.73mg
23 羌活 28.61mg
24 白芍 27.25mg
25 秦艽 24.81mg
26 海馬 24.8mg
27 甘草 21.62mg
28 肉蓯蓉 19.634mg
29 陳皮 17.55mg
30 川牛膝 17mg
31 山萸肉 16.86mg
32 五味子 16.8mg
33 鎖陽 16.67mg
34 女貞子 15.9mg
35 松節 14.9mg
36 木瓜 14.26mg
37 天門冬 14.08mg
38 蠶砂 13.8mg
39 續斷 13.12mg
40 萆薢 12.8mg
41 鱉甲 炙酥 12.8mg
42 桑枝 12.5mg
43 龜版膠 12mg
44 玉竹 11.96mg
45 覆盆子 11.92mg
46 人參 11.43mg
47 生地黃 11.2mg
48 淫羊藿 10.764mg
49 蛤蚧 10.2mg
50 烏 樟 9.9mg
51 麥門冬 9.3mg
52 紫河車 9mg
53 製首烏 7.68mg
54 紅花 7.53mg
55 山茱萸 7.5mg
56 白茄根 7.4mg
57 沈香 7mg
58 前胡 6.31mg
59 巴戟天 6.3mg
60 獨活 5.66mg
61 鹿茸 5.55mg
62 遠志 5.12mg
63 菟絲子 5.06mg
64 牛膝 4.66mg
65 全當歸 4.5mg
66 阿膠 4.5mg
67 鹿角膠 4.5mg
68 天麻 4.2mg
69 乾地黃 3.84mg
70 西黨參 3.75mg
71 沙參 3.75mg
72 威靈仙 3.56mg
73 桂枝 3.56mg
74 桑寄生 3.1mg
75 山梔子 3mg
76 千年健 2.56mg
77 山藥 2.56mg
78 玄參 2.56mg
79 何首烏 2.56mg
80 走馬胎 2.56mg
81 烏藥 2.56mg
82 紫草 2.56mg
83  當歸 2.1mg
84 白花蛇 2.1mg
85 附子 2.1mg
86 蒼朮 2.1mg
87 什開 2mg
88 海芙蓉 2mg
89 蒼耳子 2mg
90 丁香 1.92mg
91 補骨脂 1.87mg
92 荷花 1.7mg
93 山楂 1.6mg
94 玫瑰花 1.6mg
95 芡實 1.6mg
96 荷葉 1.6mg
97 蓮子 1.6mg
98 冬瓜子 1.5mg
99  湖菱 1.4mg
100 藕節 1.4mg
101 薏苡仁 1.3mg
102 荷葉蒂 1.1mg
103 川烏 1mg
104 地黃 1mg
105 防己 1mg
106 草烏 1mg
107 廣木香 1mg
108 酸棗仁 0.9mg
109 益母草 0.8mg
110 全蠍 0.6mg
111 薑黃 0.6mg
112 紅參 0.4mg
113 蒲黃 0.4mg
114 肉豆蔻 0.38mg
115 金櫻子 0.38mg
116 反 鼻 0.2mg
117 紅花 0.2mg
118 麻黃 0.2mg

總共 1784.181mg
原料酒 加至22.0ml

總共118種中藥材

中藥酒劑基準方 基準方劑

  HOME / 醫藥知識區

http://www.ccmp.gov.tw/public/public.asp?selno=497&relno=497&level=C

List of hedge funds

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_hedge_funds

投資標的

==============================================================================

http://tw.morningstar.com/ap/quicktake/NAVChart.aspx?PerformanceId=0P00000L5S&activetab=NAVChart

圖表幣別請選 New Taiwan Dollar  所以績效皆是包含匯差的台幣績效

縮放請選最大

如果從1991/2/28開始投資10000元  至  富蘭克林坦伯頓全球投資系列-全球債券基金
到2013/1/16會變成56983.86元
總共經過21.88410874年
平均每年複利報酬率8.2765%
基金總資產值至2012-12-31為止高達451億美元

==============================================================================

http://tw.morningstar.com/ap/quicktake/NAVChart.aspx?PerformanceId=0P00000B14&activetab=NAVChart

圖表幣別請選 New Taiwan Dollar  所以績效皆是包含匯差的台幣績效

縮放請選最大

如果從1991/2/28開始投資10000元  至  富蘭克林坦伯頓全球投資系列-新興國家固定收益基金
到2013/1/16會變成93591.52元
總共經過21.53639427年
平均每年複利報酬率10.9424%
基金總資產值至2012-12-31為止高達73億美元

==============================================================================

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=BRK-A+Interactive#symbol=brk-a;range=my;compare=;indicator=volume;charttype=area;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=on;source=undefined;

如果從1990/1/12開始投資8200元  至  Berkshire Hathaway Inc.  (巴菲特)
到2013/1/16會變成142964元
總共經過23.01212736年
平均每年複利報酬率13.2260%
總市值高達2374億美元

==============================================================================

Activator Method Chiropractic Technique AMCT

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Activator_technique

http://amct.tw/

http://www.amct.com.tw/

中醫傷科用藥

好骨膏（萬靈膏加減味去麝香）

http://www.ccmp.gov.tw/information/license_detail_ora.asp?id=03&num=012276&relno=513

處方成分
成分內容	成分數量	成分單位
當歸	20	mg
紅花	20	mg
自然銅	20	mg
血竭	20	mg
沒藥	20	mg
川芎	15	mg
赤芍	40	mg
牛膝	10	mg
半夏	6	mg
五加皮	10	mg
石菖蒲	10	mg
蒼朮	10	mg
木香	6	mg
秦艽	6	mg
蛇床子	6	mg
附子	6	mg
桂皮	6	mg
石斛	6	mg
萆薢	6	mg
鹿茸	6	mg
松香	20	mg
薄荷腦	20	mg
冬綠油	5	mg
冰片	5	mg
麻油	600	mg
苯甲酸鈉	1	mg
無水羊毛脂	50	mg
凡士林加至	1	g

萬應膏（加減味）【TEL】 07-3417718 ＃227、228

http://www.ccmp.gov.tw/information/license_detail.asp?id=03&num=014382&relno=513

處方成分
成分內容	成分數量	成分單位
川烏	30	mg
生地黃	30	mg
白芷	30	mg
赤芍	30	mg
木虌子	30	mg
烏藥	30	mg
獨活	30	mg
大黃	30	mg
肉桂	30	mg
草烏	30	mg
白蘞	30	mg
當歸	30	mg
羌活	30	mg
甘草	30	mg
玄參	30	mg
沒藥	30	mg
乳香	30	mg
黃蠟	300	mg
薄荷腦	20	mg
冬綠油	30	mg
去水醋酸鈉	0.5	mg
食用黃色五號		q.s.
食用藍色一號		q.s.
麻油加至1g

萬應膏藥膠布
（萬應膏加減味去穿山甲） 【TEL】 07-3417718 ＃227、228

http://www.ccmp.gov.tw/information/license_detail.asp?id=03&num=014890&relno=513

處方成分
成分內容	成分數量	成分單位
川烏	30	mg
草烏	30	mg
生地	30	mg
白蘞	30	mg
白及	30	mg
白芷	30	mg
當歸	30	mg
赤芍	30	mg
羌活	30	mg
土？子	30	mg
烏藥	30	mg
甘草	30	mg
獨活	30	mg
苦參	30	mg
玄參	30	mg
柳枝	30	mg
肉桂	30	mg
薄荷腦	20	mg
冬綠油	5	mg
冰片	25	mg
樹脂	360	mg
氧化鋅	30	mg
食用綠色三號鋁麗基	4	mg
鹽酸二苯安明	5	mg
二丁基羥基甲苯	3	mg
麻油加至1g

功夫膏  消腫油  消腫油膏（瑩珠膏加減味）

http://www.ccmp.gov.tw/information/license_detail.asp?id=03&num=008692&relno=513

處方成分
成分內容	成分數量	成分單位
樟腦	93	mg
冰片	6	mg
黃柏	62	mg
石膏	31	mg
白蠟	188	mg
薄荷腦	10	mg
冬綠油	5	mg
白色凡士林	604.9	mg
食用紅色７號	0.1	mg

http://www.ccmp.gov.tw/information/license_search.asp

長生不老藥 / 萬靈丹

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Anti-aging_substances

=============================================================

Melatonin

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Melatonin

褪黑素

http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E8%A4%AA%E9%BB%91%E7%B4%A0

褪黑素

http://baike.baidu.com/view/134320.htm

購買

http://taimaiking.com/advanced_search_result.php?keywords=melatonin&x=3&y=6

  
=============================================================

Resveratrol

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Resveratrol

白藜蘆醇

http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E7%99%BD%E8%97%9C%E8%8A%A6%E9%86%87

白藜芦醇

http://baike.baidu.com/view/140809.htm

Veratrum album

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Veratrum_album
 
虎杖

http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E8%99%8E%E6%9D%96
 
購買

http://tw.search.bid.yahoo.com/search/ac;_ylt=AtCSZtQ_v4oxcQtJ85V0wUupFLJ8?ei=UTF-8&p=Resveratrol&cat=&fp_ad_hits=3&n=50&display=imagetext&s=curprice

http://search.ruten.com.tw/search/s000.php?searchfrom=headbar&k=Resveratrol&o=2
 
http://www.puritan.com/resveratrol-053?searchterm=Resveratrol&rdcnt=1&sortorder=2&Page=1#tab=tab-1

  
=============================================================

Sirolimus

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sirolimus

雷帕黴素

http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E9%9B%B7%E5%B8%95%E9%9C%89%E7%B4%A0

雷帕霉素

http://baike.baidu.com/view/1030507.htm
 

=============================================================

 
TA-65

http://www.tasciences.com/ta-65/

Cycloastragenol

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TA-65

Astragalus propinquus
Astragalus membranaceus
 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Astragalus_membranaceus
 
黃芪

http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E9%BB%84%E8%8A%AA
 
黄芪

http://baike.baidu.com/view/30028.htm
 
黄芪提取物

http://baike.baidu.com/view/1362726.htm

膜荚黄芪

http://baike.baidu.com/view/1197970.htm
 
环黄芪醇

http://baike.baidu.com/view/7766203.htm

各種黃耆及其相關生藥製劑之應用
http://www.ohayoo.com.tw/%E5%90%84%E7%A8%AE%E9%BB%83%E8%80%86%E5%8F%8A%E5%85%B6%E7%9B%B8%E9%97%9C%E7%94%9F%E8%97%A5%E8%A3%BD%E5%8A%91%E4%B9%8B%E6%87%89%E7%94%A8.htm

黃耆真偽辨識
http://www.taiwan-pharma.org.tw/JTP/104/112-118.html

黃耆  紅耆
http://www.timing-life.com/tctcm/e-learn-icm/html/r21.htm

購買

http://www.ebay.com/csc/Health-Beauty-/26395/i.html?_sop=15&_from=R40&LH_Complete=1&_nkw=ta-65

http://www.puritan.com/astragalus-587?searchterm=TA-65&rdcnt=1&sortorder=2&Page=1
 
http://tw.search.bid.yahoo.com/search/ac;_ylt=AoiLm3GTFth0H5iM5YJvTUXeDrN8?p=Astragalus&ei=UTF-8

http://search.ruten.com.tw/search/s000.php?searchfrom=headbar&k=Astragalus&t=0&ctab=0&o=2

http://tw.search.bid.yahoo.com/search/ac;_ylt=Aru8EKWw6FHt0zhaAy.K4zWpFLJ8?p=%E9%BB%83%E8%80%86+-%E8%8C%B6&ei=UTF-8&fp_ad_hits=3&n=50&display=imagetext&s=curprice&cat=2092080483

http://search.ruten.com.tw/search/s000.php?searchfrom=headbar&k=%B6%C0%AF%CF+-%AF%F9&c=00240021&ctab=0&o=2

 
 
=============================================================

Creatine  肌酸

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Creatine

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Creatine_supplements
 
http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E8%82%8C%E9%85%B8

http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E9%81%8B%E5%8B%95%E8%82%8C%E9%85%B8
  
http://baike.baidu.com/view/149138.htm
 
購買
 
http://www.m168.net/sdp/91478/3/pd-1049714/154957-2262360/5_CREATIN%E8%82%8C%E9%85%B8.html

http://4232.aestore.com.tw/product-search.asp?lang=1&p_search=%E8%82%8C%E9%85%B8&tag=&p_sort=3#p

http://www.pcstore.com.tw/hercules/HM/search.htm?st_sort=3&pql_word=IuQVUPR..DEIAnoZz44KCFJOyp4WMdz2SYCHmn4WeFbnnpK2Tp4hXDjqpEFsmpK2epf0fFoS.
 
http://www.pcstore.com.tw/takmg/HM/search.htm?st_sort=3&pql_word=I9RAhPf..DEIATE8qat-GSFs4ItzscC01ROnaTEBlZ93SR80CItB3gXRZQASaR80lIacESE.M

每兩個月中的連續兩星期，都會每天攝取5~10克的肌酸粉。

=============================================================

 
Testosterone Cypionate

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Testosterone

http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E7%9D%BE%E9%85%AE

http://baike.baidu.com/view/576877.htm

http://baike.baidu.com/view/7119861.htm
 
Deca-Durabolin
 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nandrolone
 
http://baike.baidu.com/view/7119838.htm

http://baike.baidu.com/view/417051.htm
 
Anavar
 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oxandrolone

http://baike.baidu.com/view/4062682.htm

http://baike.baidu.com/view/3949446.htm

=============================================================

Cistanche tubulosa  管花肉蓯蓉

http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E7%AE%A1%E8%8A%B1%E8%82%89%E8%93%AF%E8%93%89

http://baike.baidu.com/view/131486.htm

http://baike.baidu.com/view/625869.htm

http://www.baike.com/wiki/%E7%AE%A1%E8%8A%B1%E8%82%89%E8%8B%81%E8%93%89

http://www.tlpharm.com.cn/products/new/new_products.html

購買

https://www.amway.com.tw/amwayasp3/order/shopping/index.asp?m=2&dc=8xx&s=2&dc2=8yy4&t=&AVRS=2577&flag=view2

=============================================================

除權息日期表 抽籤申購日期表 最近掛牌上櫃上市的股票

http://jsjustweb.jihsun.com.tw/z/ze/zeb/zeb.djhtm

http://etrade.kgi.com.tw/stock/ipoQuote/hapym02p.asp


最近上市公司
http://www.twse.com.tw/ch/listed/listed_company/new_listing.php

申請上市之本國公司
http://www.twse.com.tw/ch/listed/listed_company/apply_listing.php?page=1

最近上櫃公司
http://www.otc.org.tw/ch/regular_emerging/apply_schedule/latest/latest_listed_companies.php#

申請上櫃公司
http://www.otc.org.tw/ch/regular_emerging/apply_schedule/applicant/applicant_companies.php#

最近掛牌上櫃的興櫃股票
http://www.win168.com.tw/emerging/_emerging03.htm

2012年 現金股利分析結果

====================
====================

連續8年現金股利增加

1535 中宇
1565 精華

====================
====================

連續7年現金股利增加

9933 中鼎

====================
====================

連續11年現金股利不減

9942 茂順

====================
====================

連續10年現金股利不減

1231 聯華食
5903 全家

====================
====================

連續9年現金股利不減

4102 永日
6121 新普

====================
====================

連續8年現金股利不減

8210 勤誠

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連續7年現金股利不減

1708 東鹼

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7年現金股利成長股

股票代號 股票名稱 
1535 中宇 109.3361%
1565 精華 106.6667%
9933 中鼎 102.3010%
9942 茂順 100.0000%
1231 聯華食 100.0000%
5903 全家 100.0000%
6121 新普 100.0000%
4102 永日 100.0000%
8210 勤誠 100.0000%
1708 東鹼 100.0000%
6281 全國電 94.1176%
4103 百略 90.9091%
9930 中聯資 89.2193%
3008 大立光 85.9649%
1707 葡萄王 83.3333%
1315 達新 83.3333%
3118 進階 83.3333%
3045 台灣大 82.7773%
4401 東隆興 82.3529%
2108 南帝 80.0000%
1507 永大 80.0000%
1234 黑松 80.0000%
9908 大台北 80.0000%
2498 宏達電 76.4706%
2013 中鋼構 75.0000%
2385 群光 70.4381%
2373 震旦行 70.3226%
8109 博大 66.9291%
2347 聯強 65.0000%
4106 雃博 64.7059%
2103 台橡 63.6364%
2377 微星 62.4714%
1525 江申 50.0000%
5388 中磊 50.0000%
4506 崇友 50.0000%
3305 昇貿 47.2256%
5209 新鼎 43.4783%
6285 啟碁 33.4079%
2911 麗嬰房 28.5714%
2474 可成 25.0000%

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http://stockchannel.sinotrade.com.tw/z/zc/zcc/zcc_0050.djhtm

http://jsjustweb.jihsun.com.tw/z/zc/zcc/zcc_0050.djhtm

婊子管理法

作者: shamanlin (Claymore) 看板: Gossiping
標題: Re: [新聞] 職場男性衰退 女主管當道
時間: Mon Feb  6 10:12:28 2012

※ 引述《sn917 (嗯嗯)》之銘言：
: 女主管非常情緒化，不會就事論事
: 如果她討厭你，她會一直找你碴，就像你上面講的這樣
: 如果她喜歡你，那什麼都很好做
: 困難之處在於女主管喜歡的都不一樣，有的喜歡有自己個性勇於發言的，有的喜歡唯唯
: 諾諾拚命奉承的
: 看起來你的主管屬於後者，她跟你講話，你都不要回嘴就是了。

案例一

S：上次的貨運費用，我們已經積欠對方四個月了，對方在催
女主管：催什麼，又不是不給他，這樣我更不想給

案例二

S：使用B方案會比A要快很多，可縮短到五天
女主管：用A方案

S：你堅持用A的話，就要十天才能完成
女主管：那就是你故意拖延

案例三

S：這案子預定這樣處理，巴啦巴啦
女主管：不對，你這樣不好

S：這樣做有很多好處的，巴啦巴阿(開始分析原因
女主管：你分析沒有用，這樣不對，你去問其他人也是這樣說

S：喔，那隨便外面抓個進來問他覺得如何
女主管：上層的事情還找下屬來問？丟臉！

S：喔，您覺得這樣不好，那請問理由何在？
女主管：你態度很差，我們是在討論事情！不是一定你錯或我對。

S：喔，那您覺得要怎麼處理請直接說吧，照做就是
女主管：你態度實在太糟糕了，不想跟你說話

案例四

情境：產品出問題，跟工廠談賠償事宜
(非法治國家，無法靠法律約束，僅能談判)

S：成本差額估算約為0.3，您覺得應該賠多少較好？
女主管：大概0.6吧

S開始打電話跟工廠交涉
女主管站在旁邊，開始跳針「你就叫他賠，你就叫他賠，你就叫他賠」

S：ok，我跟工廠談好賠1
女主管：什麼賠1，至少要賠2

S花了兩天時間，用盡交涉手段，恩威並用，最後讓工廠答應賠償1.5
而且讓對方將矛頭全數對向歪國客戶，並感謝俺公司幫他們說話

S：ok，我跟工廠談好賠1.5
女主管：我不是說2？！你交涉技巧真的很爛，電話拿來我自己來
(過十分鐘辦公室傳出吵架痛罵聲，S這幾天的努力全數化為烏有)

隔天

女主管：你跟對方談好了沒？ 沒有？ 效率真差

女主管萬歲

當然，這只是個案

--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 203.69.23.202

The Tumbler

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Batmobile_(Batman_Begins)#Christopher_Nolan_trilogy

Each vehicle possessed 65 carbon fiber panels and cost $250,000 to build.

Technical specifications
Length: 15 feet 2 inches (4.62 m)
Width: 9 feet 2 inches (2.79 m)
height 4 feet 11 inches (1.50 m)
Weight: 2.5 short tons (2.3 t)
Acceleration: 0-60 in 5.6 seconds.
Engine: 5.7 liter GM V8 engine capable of 500 horsepower (370 kW).
Fuel: The "jet engine" on the back of the car was fed by propane tanks.
Tires: 4 Interco "Super Swamper TSL" tires standing 44/18.5-16.5 in the rear, and two 94.0/15.0-15 Hoosier Checkerboard dirt tires on the front, with superior grip.


http://batman.wikia.com/wiki/The_Tumbler

Technical specifications
Length: 15 feet (4.57 m)
Width: 9 feet 4 inches (2.84 m)
Weight: 2.5 short tons (2.3 t)
Acceleration: 0-60 in 5.6 seconds. Under full acceleration, the car could actually rise up on its front suspension while the front wheels stayed planted on the ground creating an effect like a giant spider.
Aprrox. full speed: 160mph (257 kmh)
Engine[2]: 5.0 liter Vauxhall/GM engine capable of 500 horsepower. The jet engine and vector controls could jump up to 6 feet vertically.
Fuel: The "jet engine" on the back of the car was fed by propane tanks.
Tires: Super swampers tires standing 44 inches tall (via titanium axles).


http://www.chickslovethecar.com/Tumbler.aspx

IP Code, Ingress Protection Rating, IP68, MIL-STD-810G

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IP_Code

http://baike.baidu.com/view/980050.htm

http://www.ns-tech.com.tw/ip-protection-c.shtml

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MIL-STD-810

From Geek to Freak: Gained 34 lbs. of Muscle in 4 Weeks

From Geek to Freak: How I Gained 34 lbs. of Muscle in 4 Weeks
http://www.fourhourworkweek.com/blog/2007/04/29/from-geek-to-freak-how-i-gained-34-lbs-of-muscle-in-4-weeks/comment-page-2/

Here are the six basic principles that made it happen:

1. Follow Arthur Jones’ general recommendations for one-set-to-failure from the little-known Colorado Experiment, but with lower frequency (maximum of twice per week) and with at least 3 minutes between exercises.

2. Perform every repetition with a 5/5 cadence (5 seconds up, 5 seconds down) to eliminate momentum and ensure constant load.

3. Focus on no more than 4-7 multi-joint exercises (leg press, trap bar deadlift, overhead press, Yates bent row, dips, incline machine benchpress, etc.) and exercise your entire body each workout to elicit a maximal hormonal (testosterone, growth hormone + IGF-1) response.

4. Eat enormous quantities of protein (much like my current fat-loss diet) with low-glycemic index carbohydrates like quinoa, but drop calories by 50% one day per week to prevent protein uptake downregulation.

5. Exercise less frequently as you increase strength and size, as your recovery abilities can only increase 20-30%, while you can often increase fat-free muscle tissue up to 100% before reaching a genetic set-point.

6. Record every workout in detail, including date, time of day, order of exercises, reps, and weight. Remember that this is an experiment, and you need to control the variables to accurately assess progress and make adjustments.

For the ladies not interested in becoming the Hulk, if you follow a “slow-carb” diet and reduce rest periods to 30 seconds between exercises, this exact workout protocol can help you lose 10-20 pounds of fat in the same 28-day time span.

Once again, questioning assumptions leads to the conclusion: less is more. Detox from TV twice a week and put in your 4 hours a month!

###

FROM GEEK TO FREAK
How to Gain 34 Pounds in 28 Days
http://www.iwillteachyoutoberich.com/blog/the-four-hour-body-from-geek-to-freak/
http://translatedby.com/you/the-4-hour-body-an-uncommon-guide-to-rapid-fat-loss-incredible-sex-and-becoming-superhuman/original/?page=22

How Did I Do It?
First, I followed a simple supplement regimen:

Morning: NO-Xplode11 (2 scoops), Slo-Niacin (or timed-release niacinamide, 500 mg)

Each meal: ChromeMate (chromium polynicotinate, not picolinate, 200 mcg), alpha-lipoic acid (200 mg)

Pre-workout: BodyQUICK (2 capsules 30 mins. prior)

Post-workout: Micellean (30 g micellar casein protein)

Prior to bed: policosanol (23 mg), ChromeMate (200 mcg), alpha-lipoic acid (200 mg), Slo-Niacin (500 mg)

No anabolics were used.
From a training standpoint, there were four basic principles that made it happen, all of which will be expanded upon in the next chapter:

1. PERFORM ONE-SET-TO-FAILURE FOR EACH EXERCISE.
Follow Arthur Jones’s general recommendation of one-set-to-failure (i.e., reaching the point where you can no longer move the weight) for 80–120 seconds of total time under tension per exercise. Take at least three minutes of rest between exercises.

2. USE A 5/5 REP CADENCE.
Perform every repetition with a 5/5 cadence (five seconds up, five seconds down) to eliminate momentum and ensure constant load.

3. FOCUS ON 2–10 EXERCISES PER WORKOUT, NO MORE.
Focus on 2–10 exercises per workout (including at least one multi-joint exercise for pressing, pulling, and leg movements). I chose to exercise my
entire body each workout to elicit a heightened hormonal response (testosterone, growth hormone, IGF-1, etc.).
Here is the sequence I used during this experiment (“+” = superset, which means no rest between exercises):
• Pullover + Yates’s bent row
• Shoulder-width leg press12
• Pec-deck + weighted dips
• Leg curl
• Reverse thick-bar curl (purchase cut 2″ piping from Home Depot if needed, which you can then slide plates onto)
• Seated calf raises
• Manual neck resistance
• Machine crunches
All of these exercises can be found at www.fourhourbody.com/geek-to-freak.

4. INCREASE RECOVERY TIME ALONG WITH SIZE.
This is described at length in the next chapter, which describes the most reductionist and refined approach to overriding stubborn genetics:
Occam’s Protocol.
Occam’s Protocol is what I suggest almost all trainees start with for mass gains.

http://translatedby.com/you/the-4-hour-body-an-uncommon-guide-to-rapid-fat-loss-incredible-sex-and-becoming-superhuman/original/?page=23

A good rule of thumb for daily intake, and a safe range based on the literature, is 0.8–2.5 grams of protein per kilogram of bodyweight. For
muscular gain, I suggest at least 1.25 grams per pound of current lean bodyweight, which means you subtract your bodyfat first. Here are a few
examples:
100 lbs of lean mass = 125 grams of protein
110 lbs = 137.5 g
120 lbs = 150 g
130 lbs = 162.5 g
140 lbs = 175 g
150 lbs = 187.5 g
160 lbs = 200 g
170 lbs = 212.5 g
180 lbs = 225 g
190 lbs = 237.5 g
200 lbs = 250 g
Not gaining muscle? Track your protein over one day. Then eat more.



Geek-to-Freak Exercises
http://www.fourhourworkweek.com/blog/geek-to-freak/

單期N期機率換算

單次發生機率	單次沒發生機率	期數	N期沒發生機率	N期內至少發生1次機率
p	1-p	n	(1-p)^n	1-(1-p)^n
1-q	q	n	q^n	1-q^n
1-r^(1/n)	r^(1/n)	n	r	1-r
1-(1-s)^(1/n)	(1-s)^(1/n)	n	1-s	s

若N期內沒發生事件A，則事件A發生機率為多少?

設N期內沒發生事件A機率 = r    a < r <= 1   則  0  <=  事件A發生機率  <  1-a^(1/n)

例   1/22085448 < r < 1  則  0  <=  事件A發生機率  <  1-(1/22085448)^(1/n)


若N期內不希望發生事件A，則單次事件A發生機率應少於多少?

設N期內至少發生1次事件A機率 < s   則   單次事件A發生機率  <  1-(1-s)^(1/n)

例  希望 s <  1/22085448  則   單次事件A發生機率  <  1-(1-1/22085448)^(1/n)


若N期內希望發生至少發生1次事件A，則單次事件A發生機率應大於多少?

設N期內沒發生事件A機率 = r 則  單次事件A發生機率  >  1-r^(1/n)

例  希望 r <  1/22085448  則   單次事件A發生機率  >  1-(1/22085448)^(1/n)

選擇權買方和賣方績效圖比較

買方 ( 黑天鵝策略 / 黑天鵝基金 )

http://www.iasg.com/groups/group/kmj-capital/program/kmj-capital-currency

http://www.wretch.cc/blog/phigroup/16524118

http://phigroup.pixnet.net/blog/post/38958779

賣方 ( 平時賺錢，因為黑天鵝事件虧錢 )

http://www.iasg.com/groups/group/ansbacher-investment-managemen/program/market-neutral-put-skew-program

http://www.wretch.cc/blog/phigroup/16524117

http://phigroup.pixnet.net/blog/post/38958777

managed futures CTA 排名

http://www.managedfutures.com/top_cta_rankings.aspx



http://www.iasg.com/managed-futures/performance?ps=0&sb=MaxDrawdown&sd=a&sdmax=1999

Big Money, Little Effort: A Winning Strategy for Profitable Long-Term Investment 最簡單的長期投資術

The rules

In the most simplistic of ways, you can think of this as a method that instructs you either to invest your money in the stock market or to place it in an instant access interest-bearing savings account (cash).
It seeks to keep your money in the stock market when prices are moving higher and in cash when they’re not.

A ‘buy (invest in the stock market)’ signal is active whenever
the most recent 30-week moving average figure is greater (higher) than the most recent 50-week moving average figure.

A‘sell (savings account investment)’ signal is active whenever
the most recent 50-week moving average figure is greater (higher) than the most recent 30-week moving average figure.

To summarize these rules,

when the average weekly closing price for the last 30 weeks is a higher figure than the average weekly closing price for the last 50 weeks,
there is a strong probability that the stock market will move higher in the long term and it is in your interest to invest.
In essence, the System forces you to draw a line in the sand that, once crossed, indicates a potentially bullish environment has been entered.

Conversely,

when the average weekly closing price for the last 50 weeks is a higher figure than the average weekly closing price for the last 30 weeks,
there is a strong probability that the stock market will move lower in the long term and it’s in your interest to close any outstanding positions to prevent you incurring losses from a downward movement in prices.

Through both historical research and actual experience, I have found this strategy to be an effective way of participating in some great bull markets, while avoiding some of the worst bear markets.

For the avoidance of doubt, and I apologize to any readers if I’m teaching them to suck eggs,
the System can only be in one of two signal conditions: a ‘buy’ signal is active or a ‘sell’ signal is active.
Always use the ‘buy’ signal to invest in the stock market and the ‘sell’ signal to reduce your stock market exposure to zero and invest your cash in an interest-bearing savings account with a well-known and respectable institution.

This might seem obvious but if you already hold a stock market position and your weekly analysis generates a ‘buy’ signal, no further action is required, because you are already participating in the market;

and, conversely,

if you do not hold a position when your weekly analysis indicates a ‘sell’ signal, no further action is required, because you have no position to get out of!

Madoff 馬多夫 的績效

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Madoff_investment_scandal

In 1992, Bernard Madoff explained his purported strategy to The Wall Street Journal. He said the returns were really nothing special, given that the Standard & Poors 500-stock index generated an average annual return of 16.3% between November 1982 and November 1992. "I would be surprised if anybody thought that matching the S&P over 10 years was anything outstanding." The majority of money managers actually trailed the S&P 500 during the 1980s. The Journal concluded Madoff's use of futures and options helped cushion the returns against the market's ups and downs. Madoff said he made up for the cost of the hedges, which could have caused him to trail the stock market's returns, with stock-picking and market timing.

In his 1992, "Avellino and Bienes" interview with The Wall Street Journal, Madoff discussed his supposed methods: In the 1970s, he had placed invested funds in "convertible arbitrage positions in large-cap stocks, with promised investment returns of 18% to 20%"

Rather than offer high returns to all comers, Madoff offered modest but steady returns to an exclusive clientele.

Madoff's annual returns were "unusually consistent", around 10%, and were a key factor in perpetuating the fraud. Ponzi schemes typically pay returns of 20% or higher, and collapse quickly. One Madoff fund, which described its "strategy" as focusing on shares in the Standard & Poor's 100-stock index, reported a 10.5% annual return during the previous 17 years. Even at the end of November 2008, amid a general market collapse, the same fund reported that it was up 5.6%, while the same year-to-date total return on the S&P 500-stock index had been negative 38%. An unnamed investor remarked, "The returns were just amazing and we trusted this guy for decades — if you wanted to take money out, you always got your check in a few days. That’s why we were all so stunned."

Represented by Ira Sorkin, Madoff's present attorney, Avellino & Bienes were accused of selling unregistered securities, and in its report the SEC mentioned the fund's "curiously steady" yearly returns to investors of 13.5% to 20%.

Also in 2003, Renaissance Technologies, "arguably the most successful hedge fund in the world", reduced its exposure to Madoff's fund first by 50 percent and eventually completely because of suspicions about the consistency of returns,





http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harry_Markopolos


In 1999, Markopolos found that one of Rampart's frequent trading partners, Access International, was dealing with a hedge fund manager who consistently delivered net returns of 1-2 percent a month.

When Markopolos got his hands on a copy of Madoff's revenue stream, he suspected problems almost immediately. To his mind, Madoff's strategy was so poorly structured that on paper, it couldn't possibly make money. Additionally, his return stream rose upward with only a few downticks—a nearly perfect 45-degree angle. Markopolos knew that the markets were too volatile even in the best of conditions for this to be possible. He believed there were only two ways to explain the figures—either Madoff was running a Ponzi scheme (by paying established clients with newer clients' money) or front running (buying stock for his own account based on knowledge about his clients' orders). Either way, Markopolos believed there was no legal way for Madoff to deliver his purported returns. Markopolos later said that he knew within five minutes that Madoff's numbers didn't add up. It took him another four hours to prove that they could have only been obtained through fraud.

In his interview with Steve Kroft of 60 Minutes, Markopolos said the biggest red flag he'd noticed in his initial 1999 analysis of Madoff was that he reported losing months only four percent of the time. To Markopolos' mind, no one could possibly be that good given the volatility of the markets. "As we know, markets go up and down, and his only went up," he said.



http://baike.baidu.com/view/2076266.htm

對投資機構與華爾街上流人士來說，麥道夫的投資一直很有吸引力，其客戶平均每月曾有過近2%的盈利紀錄。其中一名投資者說，對沖基金使他們持續受益，2004年開始，年回報率從7.3%至9%不等，而過去十幾年的年回報率超過10%。


http://www.hudong.com/wiki/%E4%BC%AF%E7%BA%B3%E5%BE%B7%C2%B7%E9%A9%AC%E5%A4%9A%E5%A4%AB?prd=so_1_doc

麥道夫經營的對沖基金以投入少回報高吸引諸多投資者，其中一名投資者回憶說，“當時，對沖基金令我們持續受益，2004年開始，年回報率從7.3%至9%不等，年平均回報率在8%左右，而過去十幾年的年回報率超過10%。




不過馬多夫應該騙不到任何台灣人，
因為台灣每個代操，賣訊號的，賣課程的，收會員的，投資大師，投顧老師，績效都比馬多夫好